Day of Consolidation: May 29, 2012
Nifty May Futures closed at 4981.65 up by 6.25 points. Bank
Nifty closed at 9653.5 mildly up by 2.55 points. Open Interest in Nifty across
all the series was up by 5 lakh shares at 2.64 Cr shares though current series shredded
15 lakh shares, implying roll over has taken place. Turnover was up at Rs 1.47
trillion, thanks to roll over. Put Call Ratio was up by 10 basis point at 1.14
indicating Put writing or Call unwinding happening in the market. Volatility as
measured by India VIX shot up by 1% to 24.37 and Dollar Rupee pair too was
trading higher at 55.59 putting Rupee under pressure. In all market was largely
indicating roll over activity with out much of fanfare.
In my opinion as said in several earlier post that in
extremely short run we might pull back up to 5060 and if pull back extends further
than up to 5228 which to me seems to be difficult. Medium to long term we are in
to intermediate bear trend and it can construed to be over only when we decisively
close above 5250 level. Every rise is a shorting opportunity with probable
first target at 4800 and below that 4550 4600 level.
Top five individual stocks which gained today were SOUTHBANK
6%, GVKPIL 4%, ADANIPORTS 3%, GMDC 3% and PANTALOON 3%.
Top five individual stocks which lost ground were AUROPHARMA
-6%, BEML -4%, VOLTAS -4%, IVRCLINFRA -3% and
ONMOBILE -3%.
Top five individual stocks which attracted higher volumes
were SBIN, ICICIBANK, TATAMOTORS, TATASTEEL and RELIANCE.
Top five individual options which attracted higher activity
today were SBIN 2150 CE, SBIN 2200 CE, SBIN 2100 CE, SBIN 2100 PE and SBIN 2050
PE.
Nifty option series where POSITIVE
change in open interest was seen were 5100 CE (7.58 LK) 4800 PE (14.32 LK) 4900
PE (6.45 LK) 5000 PE (8.74 LK)
Nifty option series where NEGATIVE change in open interest
was seen were 4800 CE (5.06 LK) 4900 CE (6.84 LK) 5000 CE (1.32 LK) 5200 CE
(1.28 LK) 4600 PE (3.08 LK) 4700 PE (2.86 LK) 4400 PE (1.62 LK)
Outstanding open interest in Out of the Money Call Options
stood at 3.71 Cr shares and that of Put Options stood at 3.17 Cr shares.
Outstanding open interest in In the Money Call Options stood at 44.80 LK shares
and that of Put Options stood at 98.17 LK shares. Put Call Ratio of current
series alone stands at 1
Happy Trading
Atul Doshi
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